To RB or Not To RB – is Zero-RB Worth It?

Robert Salinas • July 23, 2023

        Growing up, my family had cookouts any time the sun was out and there was a reason to celebrate, which ranged from birthdays to holidays to just any weekend day where we were all awake and willing to congregate. These frequent get-togethers were a test of Darwin’s theory in the aspect of hunger. As soon as the fajitas were cooked, it was first-come first-served. Rice and beans are done – better get a plate and load up. Brisket done – you better believe some of the uncles and brothers were grabbing it hot from the grill, so even when it makes it inside it’s not untouched. Sometimes, when the timing was perfect, you could create a plated meal with an entrée, side, appetizer, all at the same time with a satisfying leaning-because-it’s-heavy paper plate. Timing is rarely perfect, so most times it was eat-when-done, or don’t eat at all. The outsiders- friends/spouses/neighbors - who were used to traditional, sit-down meals would learn very quickly that if you wait too long, you’re left with some bread, a tortilla, and maybe one flat cup of iced soda.


        I’ve seen more traction lately on the “Zero-RB” fantasy strategy as we get closer to the peak of fantasy draft season. From a non-expert who maybe plays 3-4 leagues a year at most, I was intrigued to research some of the success and community feedback around this strategy.


        Zero-RB does not mean you literally draft zero running backs to your team (please don’t), yet it assumes the theory that you can attain better value in your top picks by focusing on the standout players in other positions, needing to statistically find those boom-RBs in middle-to-late round picks. 


        Let’s consider this year’s ADP, where most lists are roughly identical, which I’d bet that less than half of the top-20 players are running backs. Looking at last year, 3 of the top-5 projected backs actually matched that potential (CMC, Henry, Ekeler) with a few busts to consider like Jonathan Taylor and Najee Harris (both still inside the Top-20, but initially ranked within the Top-10). Looking at the lists of ADP vs output has some standout differences that do prove you can potentially find some great value in picks outside the traditional top-20 backs, however consistency is key in fantasy. 


        FantasyPros accumulated the Boom-Bust Percentage in 2022 by player, where within the best five backs at the end of the season, the highest bust percentage was 7% (the top two backs saw ZERO busts). Your five best receivers in 2022 saw ranges of almost 20% bust ratios, with Justin Jefferson (the top receiver) having that exact ratio. Jefferson is sitting as the number one or two right now in most rankings, as he should, but if you asked me to plainly pick a player who might see 20% of their games underperforming or 0%, I choose the latter. Yet, I can’t deny that I wouldn’t leap at Jefferson as my top pick because, well, it’s Justin freakin’ Jefferson, and I in terms of WRs he’s the best bet. That’s why sometimes statistics and over-strategizing can get in the way of what you need to do as a fantasy manager, especially in your initial first picks that will yield you some of the best pieces of your team (hopefully). 


        Does that mean you draft to fill positions first, then? Some players will tactfully fill their starters first before leaning on bench spots (i.e. getting their two RBs, their two WRs, their TE, etc. before drafting more backup spots). That strategy is almost less valuable, wasting precious roster space for best-available to fill unimportant voids that can probably be flexed or streamed if needed. Would you rather want a full plate of the hottest, most-tender brisket slices and have to decide if you want less of potato salad or beans later – or settle for a decent brisket slice now to portion out the sides and potentially go back for a colder, harder piece of meat?


        There’s stats and websites and rankings and everything in between to support one strategy or the other, but truly there’s no formula that can predict the outcome of the best strategy. That’s why Zero-RB shouldn’t be an option for you unless you want to mess around in your mock drafts (and what’s that saying currently trending right now - the more you [mess] around, the more you find out?). The most difficult piece for Zero-RB is that you need to NAIL those mid-round boom running backs, where in most cases even full-time analysts consistently miss the mark with projections year after year. 


        Some individuals play in many different leagues (my close friend in particular plays at least 10 leagues every year), so in that case where maybe you have some leverage, get risky and have some fun if you want (in other words, go ahead and eff around to find out). When it comes to drafting though, I’d like to think you’re at the Salinas family cookout. You have to take the best dish available as soon as it hits the table. That fresh plate of Nick Chubb is going to go to Joe Schmoe if you decide to get cute, and you might miss out on an amazing anchor for your team. First-come, first-served. 


Make sure to follow Rob on Twitter.

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By David Rainey July 19, 2025
It’s that time of year again. The excitement of All-Star weekend and the Homerun Derby are behind us, and it’s on to the second half of the MLB season. This is the time where the great teams separate themselves from the good teams. It’s the time for teams to show whether they should be considered contenders or pretenders. And with this time of the year, of course, comes the MLB trade deadline. Arguably the most intriguing trade deadline of all the major sports. Fringe teams will have to decide whether to be buyers or sellers, and the great teams will mortgage their futures for one player they believe will take them to the promise land. Now, as out of left-field as the ending to this year’s All-Star weekend was (raise your hand if you also weren’t aware that swing offs were a thing), the MLB trade deadline features something much more curious. The Player to Be Named Later. You see, as most of us know, it’s extremely common in Major League Baseball for a team like the Padres, for example, to sell off a handful of their top prospects at the trade deadline for a lefty reliever they hope will help them navigate the difficult waters that is the postseason. But what some people aren’t aware of (outside of us baseball nerds of course) is the use of something, or someone more specifically, called the “Player to Be Named Later (PTBNL)” in these trade scenarios. For those of you who don’t know, here’s a quick explanation of what exactly the phrase “Player to Be Named Later” means. In baseball, when a team isn’t sure exactly which prospect they want in return or when they are trying to finesse the roster management rules, they will accept a “Player to Be Named Later” in return in a trade. This gives that team the opportunity to further evaluate players and choose who they want in return at a later date. This doesn’t mean that the team will just be able to choose a superstar down the road, there are limitations placed on who can be chosen, and most of the time the player ends up being just another player lost in baseball lore. However, sometimes these PTBNL turn out to be more than just a journeyman or even lead to oddities that only baseball can provide. So, what are the most famous cases of Players to Be Named Later? Well, I’m glad you asked. Let’s start with the not so unexpected scenario that actually led to the PTBNL rules to be changed. Trea Turner Before 2015, there was a rule in place in the MLB in which prevented players from being traded for a year after being drafted. Trea Turner was drafted by the San Diego Padres in the first round of the 2014 Draft which meant, you guessed it, he wasn’t eligible to be traded until the following year. However, in December of 2014 the Padres, Nationals, and Rays agreed to mega-deal that involved 11 players AND a Player to Be Named Later. So, what does this have to do with Turner? Well, everyone was aware of who that PTBNL would be. Trea Turner. But as I mentioned before, he wasn’t allowed to be traded yet. So Turner had to spend the beginning of the next season playing for the Padres who had already traded him. This led to a rule change in MLB before the next draft to avoid this situation ever playing out again. But where is Trea Turner now? He’s certainly no journeyman. He had an incredible start to his career with the Nationals, before being traded (again) to the Dodgers with Max Scherzer in 2021. He eventually signed a $300 million deal with the Phillies where he still plays and remains one of the best players in Major League Baseball. But is he the best PTBNL of all time? Not quite. David Ortiz Big Papi. Ever heard of him? Sure you have. But did you know he wasn’t always the mashing lefty for the Red Sox that we know and love? That’s right. Early on in David Ortiz’s career he actually struggled to find a place in the league; and at one point, was even a Player to Be Named Later in a trade. He actually started his career with the Seattle Mariners, but he doesn’t mean much to the Mariners franchise outside of being a PTBNL in a trade in 1996 with the Minnesota Twins for Dave Hollins. As a matter of fact, not only was Ortiz not the player we know on the field, he wasn’t even David Ortiz on paper. At the time, he was actually known as David Arias. You might be thinking, “Wow. The Mariners really traded BIG PAPI.” Trust me when I tell that the Twins feel even worse. Ortiz would play a handful of seasons for the Twins from 1997-2002; however, even after a solid season in 2002 with the Twins, they would go on to RELEASE Ortiz. That’s right. Even one of the greatest players to ever step foot on a baseball diamond was not only traded as PTBNL but was also outright released. Of course in 2003, David Ortiz would go on to join the Boston Red Sox. Ten All-Star games, 3 World Series Championships, a World Series MVP, and a Hall of Fame selection later, David Ortiz would go down in baseball history as one of the most feared batters of all time, and the legend we know him as today Big Papi. What is the oddest Player to Be Named Later situation? There is a rare, but always delightfully bizarre situation in which a player is traded for himself as a Player to Be Named Later. This hilariously absurd scenario is so rare that it has only happened four times in the history of Major League Baseball. Harry Chiti – traded from the then Cleveland Indians to the Mets in 1962 for a PTBNL. However, he was so bad that the Mets decided trade him back to Cleveland as the PTBNL Brad Gulden – traded (with $100,000) from the Yankees to the Mariners for Larry Milbourne and a PTBNL in 1980. Once again, he performed so poorly that the Mariners traded him back to New York as the PTBNL in the original trade. Are you sensing a theme? Dickie Noles – In 1987 the Cubs traded him to the Tigers for a Player to Be Named Later. Sadly, he didn’t do enough during the Tigers playoff run that year for them to want to keep him around. So, they shipped back to the Windy City to complete the trade as the PTBNL. John McDonald – The most recent example. He was acquired by Detroit, who clearly didn’t learn anything in 1987, from the Blue Jays in 2005 for, that’s right, a PTBNL. Later that year, he was sent back to Canada for cash considerations. There you go. Next time you’re hanging out with your buddies on the back porch naming random athletes from your pass, feel free to drop in a “Dickie Noles” reference and explain the wonderful scenario of him being traded for himself. Baseball is such a beautiful sport in so many ways. For many of us, it’s the first sport we play as children, or the sport we remember watching with our grandparents on the living room floor. It has such an iconic and rich history. It’s known as “America’s past time” for a reason. But throughout that history, there are so many things that have happened that can only be described as strange and uniquely baseball. And that’s why we love it. So, when you’re scrolling social media or watching ESPN this trade deadline season and see that stud middle reliever traded for nothing but a Player to Be Named Later, maybe you won’t just brush it off this time around. Maybe you’ll wait to see who that player becomes, and maybe they’ll end up being another great piece of baseball trivia.
July 14, 2025
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