The March to October Part 1

David Rainey • July 27, 2022

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The March to October Part 1

A review of the first half of the MLB season (The AL)


            July is coming to an end, and we are officially done with the All-Star break.  Which can only mean one thing, fall is coming, and the playoffs are just around the corner.  The first half of the season provided us with a handful of surprises, as well as some disappointments (right Boston?).  Who is the front runner for the MVP awards?  Which teams are the biggest surprises and disappointments?  Let’s review where things stand after the first half of the season and predict if they remain the same.


Current American League Playoff Standings 



       The New York Yankees have been the best team in baseball, and that should come as no surprise.  That roster is loaded (even if Joey Gallo has been absolutely terrible), and they’ve had some players who have performed better than expected.  Nestor Cortes has found his stride in his 5th season and currently has 2.48 ERA with an 8-3 record overall.  While Joey Gallo may be an embarrassment with his .162 batting average, the Yankees have one of the biggest surprise players of the season to make up for it.


Biggest Surprise:  Matt Carpenter 


            Matt Carpenter’s career was on the brink of extinction as he wasted away on the Round Rock Express, the Texas Rangers triple A affiliate.  It seemed like the 36-year-old’s chances of making it back to the Majors were coming to an end as he was granted his release from the Express in May.  Soon after, he was picked up by the Yankees, and what has transpired since then is truly remarkable.  Carpenter is suddenly one of the best hitters in the league and a major contributor for the Yankees’s overwhelming offense.  In just 35 games, Carpenter has a .442 on-base percentage, .323 batting average, 1.270 OPS and 14 home runs.  What he’s doing this season simply doesn’t make sense, but it’s been incredible to witness.  It’s also been a little sad considering I’m a Rangers fan, and we just let him walk out of the building.  But it’s nice to see playing for a contender and providing meaningful at bats.  Matt Carpenter is 100% the biggest surprise player in the American League and quite possibly all Major League Baseball.

            Well, we might as well talk about the AL MVP race while we’re on the topic of the Yankees, because they have the front runner on their hands.


American League MVP Front Runner: Aaron Judge


            ALL RISE! Did I do that right?  Admittedly, I am not a fan of the Yankees.  In fact, I’ve actively rooted against them throughout my life as a baseball fan.  But their comes times in our sports lives where sometimes you just must respect greatness, even if it resides on a team you despise.  This is one of those moments.  Judge has been arguably the best player in baseball this year and without a doubt the best player in the American League.  He is the heart and soul of a Yankees’s offense that no one is going to want to see come playoff time.  The All-Star leads the MLB in runs (80), home runs (37) and total bases (232), while being second in slugging (.650), RBIs (81) and runs created (87).  He’s also 3rd in OPS and wins above replacement.  He’s the easy choice for AL MVP, and barring some unforeseen collapse or injury, I don’t see anyone overcoming him in this race.


American League Cy Young Front Runner: Shane McClanahan


            This is going to be a close race.  A lot of people would probably go with Justin Verlander right now, but for my money, I’m rolling with Sugar Shane right now.  The American League All-Star starter has been a strikeout master thus far and has 37 more than Verlander while only pitching one more inning.  McClanahan is also sitting at a sub-two ERA with 1.76.  Verlander, to his credit, isn’t far behind at 1.86, but when the race is this close every little bit matters. 

            I wouldn’t be shocked to see Verlander pass McClanahan in this race and then pull away.  As I mentioned, this is a close race to begin with, and both really are deserving. 


Examining the Standings


            Again, the Yankees are the best team in baseball, and I believe they finish atop the American League.  Houston is very close though, so New York can’t afford to slip up.  The division races aren’t that close, but the AL Central could get interesting.  Minnesota leads the Central but only by 2.5 games over the Guardians, and the White sox are only 3 games back.  The Twins are only .500 in their last 10 games, while the Guardians and White Sox are 6-4 and 7-3 respectively.  If Minnesota wants to hold on to this division, they need get it together.  I’m going to make a bold, and probably not common, prediction and go with the White Sox to win the Central.  They have the second easiest remaining strength of schedule, and I think they take advantage of it.


            The American league wild card race is going to be exciting to watch down the stretch.  None of the three teams in the playoff picture currently should feel safe.  Both the Jays and Rays just witnessed the Mariners rip off 14 wins in a row to throw themselves into the playoff picture.  Then when they thought they only had to be concerned with Seattle, the Orioles won 10 in a row to put themselves in the conversation.  Every win matters from here on out with all these teams, and even though they’ve been a complete disaster over the last month, you can’t count out the Red Sox because of the talent they have. At the end of the day, I’m going to predict some order of Twins, Mariners, and Blue Jays in the wild card.


            Speaking of the Red Sox, that brings me to my last topic.


Biggest Disappointment: Boston Red Sox

            If I would’ve written this article three months ago, my answer to this probably would have been the Angels.  The Angels started off their season red-hot, and then fell off quicker than Mims after This is Why I’m Hot.  They have two generational talents in Ohtani and Trout and somehow aren’t even sniffing the playoffs.  They are a major disappointment; however, history should’ve been a warning to us to not put much faith in that franchise to begin with.  On the other hand, history would’ve told us to go all in on the Red Sox this season.  After all, they were just in the ALCS last postseason. 

            Those are the days of the past, because July has not been kind to the Red Sox.  Quite frankly, when you lose a game by 23 runs, “not been kind,” is an understatement.  In July, Boston has been a complete embarrassment.  I’m honestly not sure how their fans were able to watch this team.  I think they’ve lost more pop ups in the sky than they’ve won games this month.  The Sox are 6-16 this month and have fallen to the bottom of the AL East.  To make matters worse, there’s the question of what happens with their star players Devers and Bogaerts.  They made the mistake of not signing them before the season, and now both will require massive pay days.  I wonder if the Red Sox will look to move of them before the deadline rather than lose them for nothing.

            Anyways, maybe things turnaround for the Red Sox, but it seems unlikely.  Their season can be summed up in the following video.



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By David Billiot Jr March 22, 2026
Saturday Afternoon Recap It’s impossible to say just how catastrophic a loss on March 21st is with their being 8 more weeks to the season, but as of today, this one feels pretty dang catastrophic. For the third time in their 4 SEC losses, LSU found themselves on the losing side of a game decided by 1 or 2 runs. After opening the series with a massive win on Thursday night behind a special performance from Casan Evans, the Tiger lost the final two games and lose their second consecutive series to start SEC play. William Schmidt and the pitching staff was fantastic, but it was the same old story of being let down by the offense. Despite the sophomore starter only making it through 4.0 innings, he still threw well. Oklahoma’s offense did a fantastic job of making him work, particularly in the back half of his outing. Gavin Guidry and Deven Sheerin did their jobs, but one of the biggest questions of the day was regarding Jay Johnson’s decision making. He’s the best college baseball coach in the country, but choosing to send Guidry back out for the 8th inning and refusing to take him out at the first, second, or even third sign of trouble was quite perplexing. The veteran was fantastic through his first 3 innings, but fatigue seemed to set in and he remained out on the mound. Although Sheerin wasn’t perfect, he made the pitch he needed to for what should be a routine play for any team in the SEC, but as things have gone through 25 games in 2026, the play wasn’t made. The offense was bad, yet again. The only 3 runs that the Tiger lineup put on the board came on two swings. Homeruns by Omar Serna and Chris Stanfield were the entire offense on Saturday. LSU only recorded two hits other than those. After striking out 13 times on Friday night, Jay’s lineup only struck out 5 times today. In the post-game press conference, he attributed the lack of hits to poor quality of contact. Recording only 4 hits in game 3 of a series is, quite frankly, abysmal. It’s the game that is widely considered high scoring, because college pitching staff’s are rarely equipped to run quality arms out on to the field for 3 straight games. There’s just no excuse for what is going on with this LSU lineup right now. For the third weekend in a row, this team ends the weekend with more questions than it entered with. Pitching Although he struck out 2 in the 1st, William Schmidt had a few mistake pitches and Oklahoma made him pay for one of them. After a leadoff strikeout of Sooner leader Trey Gambill, who had two RBI hits last night, the sophomore stud left an 0-1 breaking ball up in the zone and Camden Johson drove it the other way in to the Left Field Landing for a solo homerun. Following a second strikeout, Schmidt hung another breaking ball to Jaxon Willits in a 1-2 count, but got away with it with a deep flyout to right field. The 2nd inning was far more clean, going 1-2-3 on only 11 pitches. He got in to trouble in the 3rd, mostly due to himself. After striking out the leadoff hitter, a swinging bunt and back to back walks loaded the bases with just 1 out for Oklahoma’s 3 and 4-hole hitters. Schmidt struck them both out to a loud applause from the packed Alex Box. After two quick outs in the 4th, back to back singles by the Sooners set up another massive spot for the sophomore. After a first pitch ball, Schmidt got three straight swing and misses on his breaking ball and struck out Jason Walk to escape once again. With his pitch count already at 83 through 4 innings, back to back singles to start the 5th were enough for Jay Johnson to make the call to the bullpen. Schmidt threw the ball well, but the Sooner lineup deserves credit for making him work hard, despite only scoring 1 run off of him. Final line: 4.0 IP / 6 hits / 1 run / 7 Ks / 2 BB / 90 pitches (59 strikes, 66%) Gavin Guidry entered in a tough spot as he often does. With runners on 1st and 2nd and no one out and LSU clinging to a 2-1 lead, the veteran was entering in boiling water. With 3-hole hitter Brendan Brock up in a big spot, again, he squared around to try and bunt the runners over. A wild pitch did the job for him, moving both the tying and go-ahead runs in to scoring position. Guidry struck him out on a full count, then Steven Milam snagged a line drive right at him and made another routine 6-3 groundout to end the inning and make it 7 Oklahoma runners stranded in the past 3 innings. Guidry returned in the 6th and struck out the side, despite a 2-out walk. He’d return for the 7th and go walk, strikeout, walk, strikeout with a wild pitch mixed in to set up runners at 2nd and 3rd with 2 outs. The tying run would likely score on anything through the infield and Deiten LaChance came close to making that happen, but Steven Milam made yet another monster play with a backhand deep in the 6-hole to gun him out by a few steps. With 59 pitches, Guidry surprisingly returned for the 8th. Another 4-pitch walk to leadoff the inning seemed like a sign that he was out of gas, but Jay left him in. Oklahoma singled in the next two at bats to make it 3-2 and runners were still on 1st and 2nd with no one out. A sacrifice bunt would move them in to scoring position and that’s where Guidry would finally be taken out of the game. Final line: 3.1 IP / 2 hits / 3 runs / 6 Ks / 4 BBs / 70 pitches (39 strikes, 56%) Deven Sheerin entered in a spot desperately needing a strikeout with LSU’s defense playing back and conceding the tying run. He was in a great spot to get it after starting 0-2, but after Gambill fouled off 4 pitches, he was hit in his foot to load the bases. Sheerin then induced the double play ball that he needed, but an error on Jack Ruckert prevented a single out from being recorded and the game was tied. A sacrifice fly to right field gave Oklahoma their first lead since the 1st inning. Sheerin would find a way out of the 8th without further damage following an intentional walk and a flyout. Aside from the hit batter, the hard-throwing righty did his job, but was let down by his defense. He’d stay in for the 9th and pitch around a walk with a couple of strikeouts to hold the deficit at 1. Final line: 1.2 IP / 0 hits / 0 runs / 2 Ks / 2 BBs / 45 pitches (29 strikes, 64%) Hitting For the second game in a row, Omar Serna was the most productive LSU hitter. His 2-run homerun in the 1st inning immediately put the Tigers in control, which they’d have until the 8th inning. Jay had told us last night that Serna wouldn’t be coming out of the lineup anytime soon or possibly ever and further emphasized that point after today’s game. The freshman started at 1st base today and held his own with a few nifty plays. Serna finished 1-4. Chris Stanfield carried on the production that he has delivered since returning from his hand injury, hitting his 1st homerun of the season. His solo shot in the 5th extended the Tigers lead to 3-1. He finished 1-4. Derek Curiel and Trent Caraway each went 1-3. Curiel wasn’t as productive as we know he’s capable of, but he did get an infield hit, along with a walk. The sophomore scored once to finish 1-3. Following a tough night with a few strikeouts, Cade Arrambide moved back to catcher and found his way on base a few times. In the 9-hole, he only saw 3 at bats, but drew walks in two of them and finished 0-1. His defense behind the plate was better, particularly with blocking up pitches in the dirt with runners on base. Oklahoma very well could have scored a few more runs if not for the job Arrambide did back there. Up Next LSU will return on Tuesday for midweek action vs Louisiana Tech. First pitch will be for 6:30 central. The Bulldogs currently hold a record of 15-8 with two games remaining in their weekend series at New Mexico St tonight and tomorrow afternoon. They took game 1 on Friday night with a score of 13-8. The top competition they have faced was Southern Miss at home in Ruston, in which they were swept and outscored 25-5 in three games. LSU now sits with a 16-9 record and falls to 2-4 in the SEC. After LA Tech, the Tigers will remain home to welcome Kentucky next Friday.
By David Billiot Jr March 21, 2026
Friday Night Recap With their first opportunity to clinch an SEC series tonight, LSU fell just short with a 4-2 loss to Oklahoma to even the series. The night belonged to Casan Evans on Thursday, but Friday belonged to Sooner pitching. L.J. Mercurius wasn’t quite as magical as Evans, but he still rolled through the LSU lineup, retiring 10 in a row at one point. He was on the ropes early with back to back singles to start off the game, but was able to shut the opening rally down. After John Pearson homered to leadoff the 2nd inning, it was all Mercurius. His record improved to 5-1 with the victory tonight. The trio of arms out of the Oklahoma bullpen delivered big pitch after big pitch, despite some very tense moments with Alex Box coming to life late in the game. Cooper Moore is the story on the LSU side and not for good reason. After a perfect first 2 innings, the Sooners began making him pay for his few mistakes and scratched a few runs across in the 3rd and 4th. But the story comes in the 5th, as Moore spiked his first pitch of the inning and Jay Johnson immediately went out to the mound. Jay told us after the game that it was Moore’s tricep that was bothering him and that’s all of the info he had by the time he did his post game press conference. He did say that he believes Moore will “be ok”, but has no idea if he may miss a week, two weeks, or a month. The initial concern was that it was the elbow, which is devastating for pitchers, but according to Jay, he did not believe that was the case as of now. It’s a tough ask to have your bullpen cover 5 innings in an SEC game, but LSU’s did a great job by only allowing two more runs the rest of the way. They simply just did not get the help they needed from the Tiger bats. Pitching Cooper Moore wasted no time trying to rebound from back to back losses after starting his season with three straight wins. He attacked the Sooner lineup right from the start, getting a 2 pitch ground out to leadoff hitter Trey Gambill, who’s best attribute is getting on base. He followed that up with back to back strikeouts, picking up right where Casan Evans left off. It was another quick 10 pitch inning in the 2nd, which included a strikeout and another play deep in the 6-hole that Steven Milam makes look way too easy. Moore hadn’t made any mistakes through the first 2 innings, but he left a few balls up in the zone in the 3rd and Oklahoma made him pay. It started with a leadoff double, then after a sacrifice bunt, had 9-hole hitter Jason Walk down 0-2, but gave him a hittable pitch and Walk tied the game with a single. The damage was nearly worse when Gambill got a hanging breaking ball that he ripped in to right-center, but as he has done all year, Derek Curiel made a phenomenal diving catch to rob a sure extra base hit. The mistakes continued in the 4th, as Moore allowed back to back 1 out singles, the first of which was another 2-strike Sooner hit. With runners on the corners, a wild pitch gave Oklahoma their first lead of the series. He was able to escape without further damage, but after 21 pitches through 2 innings, Moore racked up 40 between the 3rd and 4th innings alone. Things got scary in the 5th, as he threw one pitch, a spiked fastball and Jay Johnson and head trainer Isaac Trujillo immediately came out. They spoke to Moore for about 5 minutes, but pulled him out without the junior throwing a single warmup pitch. Final line: 4.0 IP / 4 hits / 2 runs / 4 Ks / 0 BBs / 62 pitches (43 strikes, 69%) Following Moore’s early exit, Cooper Williams came in following back to back great outings. He threw 3 straight pitches out of the zone to allow the leadoff walk and then got a groundball, but it was hit too slow for a double play and Milam had to get the out at 1st base. Not being able to get the lead runner out immediately came back to bite the Tigers, as a single to left field scored the runner from 2nd to make it 3-1. After a stolen base and a groundout back to Williams, Jay would make his walk out to the mound for another pitching change. Final line: .2 IP / 1 hit / 1 run / 0 Ks / 1 BB / 16 pitches (10 strikes, 63%) Mavrick Rizy came on with 2 outs and the runner on 3rd and despite starting the hitter off with a 3-0 count, battled back to record the strikeout to end the inning. That would be the only out he recorded, as he returned in the 6th and gave up yet another Sooner 2-strike hit and then walked another. Final line: .1 IP / 1 hit / 0 runs / 1 K / 1 BB With runners on 1st and 2nd and no one out and already down two runs, Grant Fontenot entered in his biggest spot of the season. The senior delivered, going strikeout, groundout, strikeout to end the threat. The final strikeout came on the next pitch after John Pearson dropped a pop up in foul territory. Fontenot returned for the 7th after recording a big first out on a bang-bang play at 1st base, he walked the next hitter on 4 pitches and that would be the end of his night. He deserves a tremendous amount of credit for that performance in the 6th inning to keep it a 1-run game. Final line: 1.1 IP / 0 hits / 0 runs / 2 Ks / 1 BB Santiago Garcia entered following the 1-out walk and quickly did his job, as he has done for the past few weeks. A fly out and a strikeout left the runner stranded at 2nd base. He returned for the 8th and recorded a quick 1-2-3 inning, including strikeout of Sooner leader Jaxon Willits to start things off and then another highlight play by Steven Milam on a slow roller, assisted by a beautiful pick out of the dirt by Zach Yorke. Garcia returned for the 9th and wasn’t able to keep a 1-out Sooner double from adding an insurance run, as Gambill singled to deliver his second RBI of the night. He would get caught stealing to end the top of the inning. Final line: 2.2 IP / 2 hits / 1 run / 3 Ks / 0 BB Hitting Chris Stanfield was the only Tiger to record multiple hits on Friday night, finishing 2-4. It looked like he had scored the tying run in the 7th inning on a ball to the backstop, but it barely grazed Milam and was a dead ball. Omar Serna continues to find himself in big spots with these extra opportunities in the starting lineup and he seems to come through at least once per game. His RBI single in the 6th inning pulled LSU within a run to make it a 3-2 game. He also walked once, finishing 1-3. John Pearson’s solo homerun to leadoff the 2nd inning was his third of the season. It was his 4th consecutive start, making the most of his recent chances to make an impact. He finished 1-4. After pinch hitting in the 7th inning, Seth Dardar finished 1-2. His 1-out single in the 9th inning allowed the Tigers to bring the tying run to the plate. Unfortunately, Stanfield hit a hard ground ball to Camden Johnson at 3rd base and the Sooners turned their second 5-4-3 double play of the night. Quiet nights for Jake Brown pretty much look like this one. He went 1-2 with 2 walks and scored once, continuing to make an impact even when he’s not driving in a ridiculous amount of RBIs. Up Next LSU and Oklahoma will square off in the rubber match tomorrow afternoon. First pitch will be for 2 pm central. William Schmidt will take the mound for the Tigers with his record of 3-1. He entered the weekend as the team leader in strikeouts with 39, but has since been passed by Casan Evans. The sophomore is coming off of his early exit at Vanderbilt where he was experience back tightness, so that is something to keep an eye on, although Jay Johnson has said he’s good to go and did not appear on the injury report. Oklahoma will counter with freshman LHP Cord Rager, who will make his 6th start of the season. He is 2-1, with back-to-back no decisions in his last two starts. In his first SEC start last week vs Texas A&M, the freshman struggled. He only went 3.0 innings, allowing 4 runs on 5 hits, while striking out 6 and only walking one. LSU falls to 16-8 (2-3 SEC), while Oklahoma improves to 18-5 (3-2 SEC). For much more, follow me on X @DCBilliotJr
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