Preview: Nicholls at Sam Houston
Nicholls Heads to Huntsville for Renewed Matchup With Sam Houston
Colonels look to build on Southland-opening win while trying to snap a long drought in Huntsville
Nicholls steps back out of Southland Conference play this weekend, but the opponent will be very familiar.
The Colonels travel to Huntsville, Texas, Saturday to face former Southland rival Sam Houston at Bowers Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 6 p.m. on ESPN+.
Nicholls enters the matchup 2-1 after bouncing back from a difficult loss at Kansas State with a 31-28 win over UTRGV in its Southland opener. Sam Houston comes in at 0-2, but the Bearkats have been competitive in both losses, falling 24-21 at Troy and 23-17 against Tulsa.
The records suggest two teams heading in different directions, but Sam Houston has shown enough offensively to make this another significant test for the Colonels.
And for longtime Nicholls fans, this one carries some history.
Nicholls Finding Its Identity
The first three games have looked completely different for Nicholls.
The Colonels opened the season with a convincing 44-10 win over Mississippi Valley State, followed by a 71-3 loss at Kansas State, then responded with a 31-28 victory over UTRGV.
That response against UTRGV may have been the most important part of the young season.
Nicholls built a 31-14 lead before UTRGV made a late push, but the Colonels were able to make enough plays down the stretch to hold on and start Southland play 1-0.
The offense also looked much more comfortable.
Quarterback Ean Rodrigue completed 21 of 36 passes for 235 yards and four touchdowns against UTRGV, helping Nicholls consistently create answers against pressure.
A big part of that came from how the Colonels used the RPO game.
Nicholls was able to put defenders in conflict and allow Rodrigue to make quick reads based on what the defense showed before and immediately after the snap. Instead of simply asking the offensive line to hold up against pressure, the Colonels used those looks to get the football out quickly and into space.
That could become even more important this week.
More Weapons Beginning to Emerge
Nicholls is also beginning to show that the passing game is not dependent on one receiver.
Jordan Smith has been one of the Colonels' most consistent targets, while Greg Donaldson has provided a legitimate vertical threat.
But against UTRGV, Jackson Dufrene became a major part of the offense.
Dufrene finished with 100 receiving yards and three touchdown catches, giving Rodrigue another reliable option in the passing game.
That kind of production matters because Sam Houston will likely try to pressure Nicholls and make Rodrigue uncomfortable.
If the Bearkats commit extra defenders to the box or become overly aggressive trying to stop the RPO game, Nicholls has shown it has players capable of making them pay downfield.
The running game, however, remains an area where the Colonels need more consistency.
Tamaj Hoffman and Shane Lee have both shown flashes, but Nicholls has yet to consistently control games on the ground. Against an FBS opponent, the Colonels do not necessarily need a huge rushing performance, but they do need enough production to keep Sam Houston from sitting on the passing game.
Turnovers Have Become Part of the Identity
If there has been one consistent strength for Nicholls, it has been the ability to create turnovers.
The Colonels have repeatedly found ways to generate takeaways through the first three games, and that trend continued against UTRGV.
Nicholls forced three turnovers in the win and also recorded four sacks.
The Colonels did not create that pressure by simply lining up and asking the defensive front to win one-on-one matchups. Nicholls mixed in blitzes, changed where the pressure came from, and forced UTRGV to make quick decisions.
That aggressive style could play an important role again Saturday.
Sam Houston has struggled to protect its quarterback through the first two games, creating an opportunity for Nicholls to continue bringing pressure from different levels.
Sam Houston Can Throw the Football
The Bearkats may be 0-2, but their passing game has been productive.
Quarterback Landyn Locke has completed 54 of 80 passes for 651 yards, five touchdowns and just one interception through two games.
That is an average of more than 325 passing yards per game.
Locke threw for 335 yards in the loss to Troy and followed that with 316 yards against Tulsa.
Grady O'Neill leads Sam Houston with 12 catches for 148 yards and a touchdown, while Chris Reed has seven receptions for 145 yards and two touchdowns.
Jerrian Parker Jr. has also provided explosiveness in the passing game, turning two receptions into 101 yards and a touchdown.
So while the Bearkats have not won yet, Nicholls cannot afford to look at the 0-2 record and assume this offense is struggling.
The passing game is capable of producing explosive plays.
The Opportunity for Nicholls' Pass Rush
The biggest weakness for Sam Houston offensively has been protection.
The Bearkats have allowed nine sacks through two games.
Locke has still been able to produce despite that pressure, but it creates a clear opportunity for Nicholls.
The Colonels just recorded four sacks against UTRGV and showed a willingness to bring pressure from different areas of the defense.
That does not mean Nicholls can simply blitz every down.
Locke has been too productive for that.
If Nicholls becomes predictable with its pressure, Sam Houston has enough weapons to take advantage of one-on-one coverage downfield.
The challenge will be disguising pressure, changing the picture before the snap and forcing Locke to hold the football just a little longer.
That chess match may be one of the biggest factors in the game.
Sam Houston Has Struggled to Run It
Another area to watch is the Bearkats' rushing attack.
Alton McCaskill leads Sam Houston with 99 yards on 27 carries, but the Bearkats have only 93 net rushing yards as a team after accounting for sacks.
That lack of balance could help Nicholls.
If the Colonels can slow the running game without consistently bringing extra defenders into the box, it gives the secondary more help against Sam Houston's passing attack.
The goal should be simple: force the Bearkats into obvious passing situations and then make Locke uncomfortable.
A Familiar Opponent From Nicholls' Past
While Sam Houston is now an FBS program and a member of Conference USA, this is far from an unfamiliar opponent for Nicholls.
The two programs have met 35 times dating back to Sept. 15, 1979, when Nicholls defeated Sam Houston 29-10 in Thibodaux.
Sam Houston leads the all-time series 23-11-1 and has controlled much of the recent history between the programs.
Nicholls is just 1-9 in the last 10 meetings.
The lone victory during that stretch came in 2018 when the Colonels defeated Sam Houston 27-7 in Thibodaux.
Huntsville has been an especially difficult place for Nicholls.
The Colonels are 3-14 all-time on the road against Sam Houston and have not won in Huntsville since a 34-16 victory in 2002.
Before that, Nicholls' previous road victory came in 1994 when the Colonels shut out Sam Houston 24-0.
The most recent meeting came during the spring 2021 season, and it was one Nicholls would rather forget.
Sam Houston defeated the Colonels 71-17 in Huntsville on its way to eventually winning the FCS national championship.
That loss was the second consecutive defeat for Nicholls in the series after Sam Houston won 17-0 in Huntsville in 2019.
A Series Once Dominated by the Bearkats
There have been long stretches where Sam Houston completely controlled this matchup.
Nicholls lost 11 straight games to the Bearkats from 2006 through 2017 before finally ending the streak with that 27-7 victory in 2018.
The Colonels' longest winning streak in the series is two games.
Nicholls defeated Sam Houston 20-19 in Thibodaux in 1993 before following it with a 24-0 shutout in Huntsville in 1994.
Overall, Nicholls is 8-9-1 at home and 3-14 on the road against Sam Houston.
The Colonels were 8-22 against the Bearkats in games played as conference opponents.
That makes Saturday more than just another FCS-versus-FBS matchup.
It is the renewal of a series that was once a regular part of the Southland schedule.
What Nicholls Has to Do
For Nicholls to give itself a chance Saturday night, several things stand out.
Pressure Locke without giving up explosive plays. Sam Houston has allowed nine sacks, but Locke has also thrown for 651 yards. Nicholls has to make him uncomfortable without becoming so aggressive that it leaves the secondary exposed.
Keep winning the turnover battle. Takeaways have helped define this defense through three games. Nicholls cannot afford to give Sam Houston extra possessions while playing on the road against an FBS opponent.
Find enough of a running game. The Colonels do not need to dominate on the ground, but they need to make Sam Houston respect it. If the Bearkats can ignore the run, the RPO game becomes much easier to defend.
Continue using the RPO game. Nicholls looked comfortable against UTRGV when Rodrigue was able to read defenders and get the ball out quickly. That should remain a major part of the plan.
Finish the game. Nicholls led UTRGV 31-14 before allowing the Vaqueros back into it. Against Sam Houston, those late mistakes could be much more costly.
A Different Kind of FBS Opportunity
Kansas State was a completely different challenge.
That game got away from Nicholls early, and the Colonels were never able to settle into what they wanted to do.
Sam Houston feels different.
The Bearkats are an FBS program, but they have lost their first two games by a combined nine points.
Troy beat them by three.
Tulsa beat them by six.
Nicholls should go into Huntsville expecting to compete.
The Colonels are 2-1, already own a conference win, and appear to be finding more pieces offensively.
The defense continues to create turnovers.
The pressure packages used against UTRGV give Nicholls something to build on.
And the Colonels now have another opportunity to measure themselves against an FBS opponent.
This one also comes with some history attached.
Nicholls has not won in Huntsville since 2002.
That gives Saturday night's game a little more meaning.
If the Colonels can pressure Locke, protect the football, avoid explosive plays, and force Sam Houston into a fourth-quarter game, they should give themselves an opportunity.
And if Nicholls can do that, the Colonels may have a chance to leave Huntsville with a win for the first time in more than two decades.
Kickoff: Saturday, Sept. 19, 6 p.m.
Location: Bowers Stadium — Huntsville, Texas
TV: ESPN+
Records: Nicholls 2-1, Sam Houston 0-2
All-time series: Sam Houston leads 23-11-1
Last Nicholls win in Huntsville: 2002, 34-16
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