NFL Futures: Chris Olave is Set for a Break Out Season.

Marcelo Unda • August 12, 2023

The bright spot for the New Orleans Saints last season was drafting the 22 year old wide receiver out of Ohio State in the first round. Saints finished 7-10 with Andy Dalton playing quarterback for the majority of the year. Olave had a productive first year. He finished with 72 receptions, 1,042 yards, and 4 touchdowns. Olave has poised himself to be the alpha in the Saints offense, and make a significant impact with Derek Carr playing quarterback. Let's breakdown what Olave has in store for himself this season, and explain why I will be betting the OVER on his props.


1. Olave over 1000.5 Receiving yards

The second-year wide receiver has shown through out all of training camp why he is the number one option out of this receiving group. His size, quickness, and route running have already shown improvement from last year's offense that ranked 16th in passing in the NFL. I am expecting Carr to improve the passing game to help this team with offensive production. Olave made the best of his 119 targets last year breaking 1,000 yards all while averaging 69.5 (nice) yards per game in 15 games. If the target share increases, which I expect since we aren't dealing with Dalton and Winston under center, Olave's yards prop should be target to aim for when looking at receiving yards future. Especially when the Saints are facing passing defenses like: Jaguars, Titans, Vikings, Lions, and Falcons (x2) that ranked 25th in passing defense last year in the NFL.

2. Olave over 4.5 touchdowns

I was shocked to see even money for Olave to get 5 TDs at first glance. Alvin Kamara is expected to miss the first three games of the season. Michael Thomas has only played a total of 8 games since 2019. The Saints invested in a first round pick in 2022 & traded their 2023 first to get into the first round to draft Olave. The team knows how talented he is. The best part is he is showing it on the field as well.


Fantasy Outlook

Olave sits at WR 12 in PPR rankings with an ADP of 28. I wouldn't mine taking him as my WR 1, but would only consider taking him once after Garrett Wilson (WR 10) is off the board. Consider him in the 2nd round depending on your roster construction. The reason I took into Olave's Fantasy outlook when considering these props is to see what the community thinks of Olave's outlook for 2023.



Here's two national fantasy writers who see the path for Olave to have a successful season. I believe in the Saints evaluating talent, and providing Olave with the resources to succeed as a player. I am locking in these props for over 1000.5 receiving yards and over 4.5 receiving touchdowns for the season. Let me know if you have any futures that you will be locking in before the football season kicks off.


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Well the changing of the guard has begun on defense. With Demario Davis leaving in free agency a big leadership void was left in the locker room where someone else will have to take the torch. Whom remains to be seen but all eyes are on what Kaden Ellis brings in his return to the Saints. The Saints signed Ellis to bring back someone with familiarity with the organization and the talents he was better able to showcase after leaving the team. Kaden Ellis in his time with the Atlanta Falcons was able to show he can do whatever you need of him from the linebacker position. He can play off ball in space showing good awareness in coverage but can also play well on the ball when asked to rush the passer from a variety of situations. With Ellis in the fold I expect the defense to be more effective in keeping the offense guessing on what the linebackers will be doing on a down to down basis.  Next up is Pete Werner who has had a up and down career thus far with the Saints but overall has been a solid starter since he was drafted. Werner’s coming off a down year in terms of on field production in 2025 where he was routinely taken off the field in favor of getting the young linebackers on the roster snaps on defense to give them some opportunity and experience. If Werner wants to keep his starting role on defense he is going to have to show more impact on defense this season beginning in training camp. With Demario gone and Pete Werner the only returning starting at linebacker on defense the door of opportunity has fully opened for the young linebackers on the roster. who have been patiently waiting for their chance to make a name for themselves. Isiah Stalbird, Jaylan Ford, Danny Stutsman fit into this category as young guys earning their stripes through special teams and limited snaps on defense thus far. This will be one of the more fascinating, fun training camp battles to see if any can overtake Werner on the depth chart and carve out a more meaningful role on defense. After them is the roster hopefuls in Anfernee Jennings and Jackson Sirmon. These two will look to show they belong in the league and will do whatever it takes to prove it. Whether they make the 53 man roster with the Saints or not the goal is to help bring more competition to the room and see who can do enough to latch on somewhere in the NFL. Opportunity is the key word I would use for this group. From Kaden Ellis getting a chance to really star on defense to Pete Werner getting an opportunity to keep young guys from taking his snaps again to the young guys like Danny Stutsman overtaking Werner on the depth chart. The linebacker unit has plenty of opportunities ahead of them, let’s see what they can make with them.
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