Week 3 Preview: LA Tech @ Baylor
Bulldogs and Bears meet for the seventh time ever.
Bears and Bulldogs
Louisiana Tech and Baylor have played each other in football a grand total of six times. Baylor leads the series 5-1, with the lone Bulldogs win coming in 1992 when Tech beat the Bears 10-9 in Waco. That same year, Tech would go on to finish with a 5-6 record while Baylor finished with a 7-5 record. 1992 was a year in which the Bulldogs had three total passing touchdowns in a season marked by shared quarterback snaps and the beginning of Head Coach Joe Peace’s decline. It was the last year of Louisiana Tech’s stint as an independent before three years in the Big West that were immediately followed by more independence. Two of the all-time matchups between these teams were held in Shreveport, typically as a season opener. The last time Tech played Baylor was indeed in Shreveport in 1996. Baylor won 24-16. More often than not in these teams’ short history of matchups, the games have been low scoring and nailbiting all throughout. Following a hard-fought loss against LSU in Baton Rouge last week, the Bulldogs are hoping to continue showing the nation that their defense deserves recognition. The goal in many’s eyes this weekend is to simply survive as our next matchup is back home against Army, however, there may be some opportunities in Dave Aranda’s hot seat season for the Bulldogs to make miracles happen in Waco.
Battle of the Backups
If you had not known already, it has basically been confirmed that both of these teams will be playing their backup quarterbacks. DJ Lagway is continuing to deal with a nagging ankle injury and backup Nate Bennett is expected to start another week. It was also revealed that LA Tech starting QB Blake Baker had fractured his throwing hand in the first half against LSU on Saturday, preventing him from starting for at least three more weeks. Trey Kukuk, who started most of the latter half of Tech’s season last year, is going to take the reins in Waco with hopes of displaying his off-season development with a larger sample size.
Kukuk started five games last year for Louisiana Tech, participating in even more games over the course of the year. After coming out as the starter for the Bulldogs’ first two games, Blake Baker would take the starting job until he got hurt and a running competition between Kukuk and Evan Bullock lasted two weeks in November. Once the Bulldogs reached the final stretch of their schedule, Kukuk was the one to heed the call. Kukuk led the Bulldogs to finish the year on a three game win streak in which he helped his team come back from a 7-28 deficit to beat Liberty in overtime 34-28. He led the team in rushing yards in each of the final three games and looked fantastic as a pure runner who could complete important passes when it mattered.
On the other end, Nate Bennett has been waiting for his turn to play since he committed to Baylor in 2023. He has little playing experience but we can take away a pretty exceptional performance against Prairie View A&M last week. Bennett was 24/36 passing for 314 yards and three TD’s after Lagway threw the ball 54 times the week prior. He showed in his first full start for Baylor that he could sling the football (even if the opposing team is an FCS school) according to the Dave Aranda identity. This being said, Bennett seems to suffer from the same bug as DJ Lagway in how often he gives the ball back to the other team. From Louisiana Tech’s perspective, Bennett is an exciting opportunity to create more turnovers against higher competition to earn more and more respect and experience.
Gavin Freeman seems to be the favorite target of both Bennett and Lagways by far, touting 22 receptions through two games, almost quadrupling the reception total of the next receiver. He leads the nation in receptions and while he only has one touchdown, he should anticipate a lot more targets this weekend. Dawson Pendergrass is another name to know for Baylor, as he has received 40 carries for 157 yards in the two games played so far. It is almost as if Baylor has fed him the ball, whether it is working or not and he has managed to produce occasionally. I predict that Baylor will want to try to run the ball to build the identity of a rushing attack, but will be trickling in the pass game heavily enough to keep Olson’s defense guessing. Fortunately for Tech, there may be good opportunities to take advantage of a less-than-stellar rush-first style.
Tale of Two Defenses
Offensively, Baylor seems quite balanced in their play. They do throw it a lot more than Tech may be used to, but they still have very talented backs that will get plenty of carries. If the dogs want to see any success this week, they need to continue displaying their Luke Olson strength of consistent takeaways. Especially since Baylor has shown willingness to put the ball in risky places, regardless of who is throwing the ball.With regards to team defensive stats, LA Tech is currently tied for second most total interceptions in the country with four, sixth most total sacks with seven and is giving up only 2.6 yards per carry in the run game. While it is still early in the year, I believe it is these statistical successes are valuable representations of Tech’s current high performance against a formidable offense in LSU and thorough beatdown of a failing program in Northwestern State.
Unfortunately for Tech, Baylor is also boasting an impressive two weeks of defensive performances, with the better evaluation being against their opening opponent, Auburn. Baylor only gave up 17 points in their loss to Auburn and held the Tigers to only 130 rushing yards and an average of 3.2 yards per carry in that game. They also picked off Byrum Brown three times and limited the historically mobile QB to 27 yards on 21 rushing attempts (five of those rushing attempts resulted in sacks). As Tech prepares to march out their offense with Trey Kukuk at the helm, I am quite worried about the effectiveness of Kukuk’s traditional use-cases as an elusive run-first option player. Baylor has shown their ability to shut down the run in general and especially the rushing abilities of the quarterbacks they have played so far. Kukuk will be facing a lot of pressure from the Bears’ front seven and if OC Nathan Young does not recognize the need for a kind of sophisticated passing attack, the Bulldogs might get stuck trying to run into a brick wall for 60 minutes.
Conclusions
Louisiana Tech plays another very expensive opponent in Baylor this weekend with goals of upsetting the aspiration of an easy, clean win for the Bears. Once again will Olson’s elite ball hawks search for chances to turn any slight mistake into an awesome takeaway. Alonzo Jackson, Kolbe Fields, Jaden Mayfield, and the rest of this linebacker room will be on the prowl in order to lock down the midfield and help our trenches continue to limit rushing success. We will discover just how much Sonny Cumbie was able to develop Trey Kukuk over the offseason and if Nathan Young can work him into an offensive gameplan that will likely be seen against Army in the coming weeks as well. It is possible for Tech to keep this game very close just as they did with LSU but there needs to be a maintenance of discipline and ball pursuit for the third straight week. I am beyond excited to watch this game this weekend and I encourage anyone with an ounce of interest to tune in to watch another potential banger in the making.
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