Week 11 Preview: LA Tech vs. Southern Miss
Louisiana Tech hosts Southern Miss on Saturday Nov 14 @ 4:00 PM CST
The Rivalry in Dixie
This weekend marks the 55th meeting between the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and the Southern Miss Golden Eagles. In a rivalry dating back to 1935, Southern Miss has dominated the series with 36 total wins opposed to Tech’s mere 18. Tech has never had a win streak of more than two games across this 90-year stretch and they aim to reach two yet again against the Eagles this weekend. The official moniker of this game, “The Rivalry in Dixie” was coined by Tech’s most successful coach Maxie Lambright back in 1976. Lambright, a Southern Miss alumnus, referred to the game as “the finest rivalry in Dixie” with plenty of other factors tying the term to this game, including Ruston’s very own Dixie Theater downtown. It is truly a beautiful rivalry between these teams and even in Southern Miss’ worst years, the competition between these programs makes for an intense game every time the schools meet on the gridiron.
Lyddy & Co.
On Saturday, Louisiana Tech will expect to see QB John White, the Golden Eagles’ third starter under center this year after failed stints from both Ethan Hamption and Landry Lyddy. Lyddy is notable as a Louisiana native who got his start at Louisiana Tech, playing a handful of games in his freshman year in 2022 (a season in which Tech went 3-9). White started against JMU in the Golden Eagles’ last game and performed well in a no-win situation as the third signal caller to play for the team. He went 22/35 for 266 yards and a touchdown, being sacked four times and fumbling the ball once as the rest of his team’s play did not encourage a ton of success.
With a team that has the 32nd highest pass rate in the nation, they are 11th worst in predicted points added on passes and 14th worst in success rate on said passes. This, plus plenty of interceptions, sacks, and low completion rates have proven the Golden Eagles to be a team that struggles majorly through the air. On the ground though, it is a different story. Even with a lower rate of rushing, the team has a top 50 success rate on runs and the 4th lowest stuff rate at the line of scrimmage on rushes. They are in the upper half of total rushing yards, yards per rush, and rushing touchdowns. The team can run, but they seem to choose not to in favor of a pass attack that is completely anemic regardless of who is throwing the ball. Part of that has been the inability to find the right guy to make the pass attack function. The other part is the need to pass so much due to the defense’s failures to stay ahead of opponents’ points.
Hitting the Over
In five of Southern Miss’ seven losses, they allowed opposing teams to score more than 43 points. This is a team that has not been able to stop offenses on the ground or through the air. They allow opposing quarterbacks to complete 63.4% of passes and are among the worst half of teams in the country in allowed yards per attempt (7.6), passing yards (1992), passing touchdowns, and forced turnovers. Southern Miss is top 50 in total sacks, but still has extremely low rates of havoc across their schedule so far. They allow high success rates to both rushes and passes as well as predicted points added on each, leading to long drives that result in scores allowed by the Yellow Fledglings.
One thing Southern Miss has excelled at though is preventing explosiveness, which Tech continues to rely on for their own successes, ranking top 30 in the country in this metric. Tech doesn’t just need explosiveness though, currently touting the 5th best completion rate in the country (71.3%), a top 30 standing in passing TD’s and yards per attempt, and has the 29th best success rate in the country in the air. It will certainly be a challenge for the Golden Eagles to prevent such success and they will face extreme pressure of their own when they face a top 5 team in Havoc Rate that is limiting QB’s to some of the lowest completion rates, passing touchdowns, and passing yards in football. It isn’t just QB prevention that Tech succeeds at though, as they have a top 10 stuff rate and yards limited at the line of scrimmage. This front has become terrifying to opposing teams and Southern Miss better be prepared for the hell they will experience on Saturday.
Conclusions
Even with a lot of metrics in Tech’s favor, Southern Miss will do anything in their power to squeeze out a win over a team they hate with vigorous passion. It was just recently in 2018 that Louisiana Tech was sitting at 7-3 with a strong chance to compete for a CUSA title when they took to Hattiesburg against a 4-5 Golden Eagle squad. Tech would lose 20-21 in a heartbreaker against an inferior rival on the road, hurting any chance to play for a chip. This year’s Southern Miss team is notably worse than the one seen in 2018 but has no less hatred for the Bulldogs in Ruston, LA. With a win on Saturday, Tech clinches a spot in the conference championship in their first year as a Sun Belt school. It will be a glorious game regardless of the outcome, but I will be rooting on my guys in this legendary final stretch. Wear red! Go Dogs!


