Saints 2023 Week 17 Preview

Jason Watson Jr • December 30, 2023

Saints Fight for Playoff Life in Road Contest with Buccaneers


As we wind down to the end of the 2023 NFL regular season, the number of games remaining is dwindling just as quickly as the Saints’ playoff hopes. New Orleans is still in contention for a playoff spot and a chance to host a game, but they will need help if they want any chance to find themselves in the postseason. The Saints are coming off a disheartening 30-22 loss to the Rams. Our upcoming divisional opponent, the Buccaneers, dominated the Jaguars 30-12 last week.


The Matchup:

Tampa Bay currently leads the NFC South by a full game over Atlanta and New Orleans. With a victory against New Orleans, the Bucs would clinch the division and earn the fourth seed in the NFC. If the Saints can beat Tampa Bay and Atlanta in their final two games of the season, New Orleans would still require Carolina to defeat Tampa in a week 18 matchup to steal a playoff spot. The top three NFC South teams are all still in contention for a wildcard slot, but other divisions are making it a slightly more difficult task. A New Year’s Eve contest will see Tampa Bay host New Orleans at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, December 31, 2023, at noon CST on FOX.



Series History:

Tampa Bay won in the first clash with New Orleans in week 4 with a convincing 26-9 victory. That game marked the third straight loss for the Saints when playing the Buccaneers. It won’t get any easier for Dennis Allen’s team as the Bucs will not be any pushover divisional opponent. If New Orleans can win, it will be their 40th all-time against Tampa Bay.


Team Rankings Comparison:

Rank (Week 16) Saints Buccaneers
Record 7-8 (3rd NFC South) 8-7 (1st NFC South)
Scoring Avg. 22.1 (13) 21.7 (17)
Opp. Scoring Avg. 19.8 (9) 20.1 (11)
Total Off. 334.8 (14) 316.3 (23)
Rushing Off. 98.7 (21) 89.3 (30)
Passing Off. 236.1 (12) 227.0 (17)
Total Def. 321.6 (14) 356.2 (24)
Rushing Def. 126.9 (25) 92.1 (7)
Passing Def. 194.7 (7) 264.1 (32)
Turnover Margin +4 (10) +10 (2)
Penalties 88 (17) 92 (13)
Penalty Yards 800 (13) 698 (20)


Current Injury Report:


Saints-

Jordan Howden, S, Questionable, Illness

Lonnie Johnson, CB, Questionable, Knee

Ryan Ramczyk, T, Questionable, Knee

Isaiah Foskey, DE, Questionable, Quadricep

Erik McCoy, C, Questionable, Foot

Kendre Miller, RB, Questionable, Ankle

Chris Olave, WR, Questionable, Ankle

Cameron Jordan, DE, Questionable, Ankle



Buccaneers-

Shaquil Barrett, LB, Questionable, Groin

Carlton Davis III, CB, Questionable, Concussion

Chris Godwin, WR, Questionable, Knee/Rest



Final Thoughts/Prediction:

New Orleans has to do one thing to be successful on Sunday. The Saints must replicate their second-half success and get the ball rolling early versus the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay has been humming lately, and I would not be surprised to see them stop now after the Saints’ defense gave up 30 to the Rams. It should be a good game; it always seems to be that way between divisional opponents. However, I think Tampa Bay will come out on top in a shootout. The Saints are desperate, and we’ve seen in previous weeks that they aren’t going to lie down and accept defeat, but the Buccaneers are playing for a division title in front of their home crowd. I like Tampa in this contest, 34-28.


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By Greyson Jenkins January 4, 2026
New Orleans Saints 17 - 19 Atlanta Falcons The Saints' season is officially over. As sad as it is to say that, this season ended on a much more positive note than I expected, and has me actually looking forward to the offseason, not dreading it. The defense finished on a positive note, Tyler Shough is definitely the guy for at least the next few seasons, and Kellen Moore improved over the second half of the year. If the season finished how we expected prior to Shough saving the team, this offseason would be much more bleak in appearance. This is supposed to be a week 18 recap, but why recap a game no one really had any expectations for or cared about? No one, not even us Saints fans or analysts, really expected Shough to be able to do much with this offensive group, and he couldn’t really. Sure, he made a few really good plays, but you could tell Kellen Moore was struggling to find plays that he felt confident running with the receivers, and I don’t view that as a negative, just a bad scenario for everyone. Because of this, I am not going to write this really as a week 18 recap, but more as a short preview of this offseason. Chase Young Chase Young has made it clear that he is the best young player on this Saints team. Maybe you could swap him out with Chris Olave, but I struggle to overlook his incredible performances and constant clutch play in big moments to close out the year. He finished this game with one and a half sacks and three tackles for losses, but should have even had one more sack and a forced fumble on his stat sheet. Mickey Loomis seemingly has gotten away with the deal of a lifetime, sorry Loomis haters, by signing Young to a three-year deal for only $17 million per year on average. That is more than $10 million less than what the top 10 defensive end salaries are on a per-year basis, and Young has 10 sacks in 12 games played. While watching this one, I texted my buddies and said that Young is a top 10 EDGE in the league at this point, but they disagree. Although he may not be right now, Chase Young is quickly improving and becoming what everyone expected him to be when he came into the league. If he continues down this path, it would be extremely reasonable for him to try and get a pay raise after next season. Going into this offseason, the Saints must add at least one other piece to the defensive end rotation, so teams are forced to take their focus off of Young and open up the opportunity for even more plays by him. Tyler Shough Tyler Shough did not by any means have a perfect game; he finished 23 of 39 for 259 yards and a touchdown and an interception. However, as I said earlier, I don’t think anyone expected him to with the weapons at his disposal. He led the team down the field multiple times, and a Charlie Smyth missed field goal, and Dante Pettis offensive pass interference made this game appear worse offensively than it was. He made some throws and plays out of scheme that once again added to the current mindset that he is the team’s future, so I am not worried about the interception that came late in the fourth quarter on the tenth or so double slant pattern of the game. However, I will say that Shough’s ability to make things work at times with this battered of a weapon room is impressive in itself, and means that if the team decides to go and get him weapons in the draft or free agency, he can be even more successful. I’d really like the Saints to leave the draft with one of the following: Jeremiyah Love, Jordyn Tyson, Makai Lemon, or Elijah Sarratt. If they do that, I think this offense alongside Shough would be extremely fun to watch next season. The Defense The Saints' defense finished the season without allowing a fourth-quarter touchdown since Week 11 against the Falcons. Yes, week 11. Although I felt the defense started off pretty rough, the second half of the season was a true testament to Brandon Staley’s abilities as a defensive coordinator. The Saints' defense improved this season in both total scoring and yardage allowed in comparison to last season, at 17th and 9th, respectively, before this game. They played another great game here with what should have been two turnovers if it weren’t for a bad call by the refs on the Chase Young strip-sack. Quincy Riley and Jonas Sanker both have been massive additions to this side of the ball, and Danny Stutsman appears to have the potential to be good whenever Werner or Davis leave. If the Saints decide to run it back with this same defense and bring back the vets, it would not be the worst thing in the world, but I would still like to see them bring in more young talent. Closing Time This season was my first writing for the team, and I really enjoyed recapping all of the highs and lows of the season and trying to let you guys know exactly how I felt about the team week in, week out. As much as I hate this team missing the playoffs and the season ending today, I’m happy I had this opportunity and look forward to doing the same next season. I may write a few offseason articles, but if not, I will definitely have a few Saints-focused episodes on my YouTube channel, Jenks Island. Until next time, Who Dat!! Offensive MVP: Tyler Shough Defensive MVP: Chase Young Special Teams MVP: NONE (Please fire Phil Galiano)
By Caleb Yaccarino January 3, 2026
The final game of the season is here!
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