Saints 2023 Week 17 Preview

Jason Watson Jr • December 30, 2023

Saints Fight for Playoff Life in Road Contest with Buccaneers


As we wind down to the end of the 2023 NFL regular season, the number of games remaining is dwindling just as quickly as the Saints’ playoff hopes. New Orleans is still in contention for a playoff spot and a chance to host a game, but they will need help if they want any chance to find themselves in the postseason. The Saints are coming off a disheartening 30-22 loss to the Rams. Our upcoming divisional opponent, the Buccaneers, dominated the Jaguars 30-12 last week.


The Matchup:

Tampa Bay currently leads the NFC South by a full game over Atlanta and New Orleans. With a victory against New Orleans, the Bucs would clinch the division and earn the fourth seed in the NFC. If the Saints can beat Tampa Bay and Atlanta in their final two games of the season, New Orleans would still require Carolina to defeat Tampa in a week 18 matchup to steal a playoff spot. The top three NFC South teams are all still in contention for a wildcard slot, but other divisions are making it a slightly more difficult task. A New Year’s Eve contest will see Tampa Bay host New Orleans at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, December 31, 2023, at noon CST on FOX.



Series History:

Tampa Bay won in the first clash with New Orleans in week 4 with a convincing 26-9 victory. That game marked the third straight loss for the Saints when playing the Buccaneers. It won’t get any easier for Dennis Allen’s team as the Bucs will not be any pushover divisional opponent. If New Orleans can win, it will be their 40th all-time against Tampa Bay.


Team Rankings Comparison:

Rank (Week 16) Saints Buccaneers
Record 7-8 (3rd NFC South) 8-7 (1st NFC South)
Scoring Avg. 22.1 (13) 21.7 (17)
Opp. Scoring Avg. 19.8 (9) 20.1 (11)
Total Off. 334.8 (14) 316.3 (23)
Rushing Off. 98.7 (21) 89.3 (30)
Passing Off. 236.1 (12) 227.0 (17)
Total Def. 321.6 (14) 356.2 (24)
Rushing Def. 126.9 (25) 92.1 (7)
Passing Def. 194.7 (7) 264.1 (32)
Turnover Margin +4 (10) +10 (2)
Penalties 88 (17) 92 (13)
Penalty Yards 800 (13) 698 (20)


Current Injury Report:


Saints-

Jordan Howden, S, Questionable, Illness

Lonnie Johnson, CB, Questionable, Knee

Ryan Ramczyk, T, Questionable, Knee

Isaiah Foskey, DE, Questionable, Quadricep

Erik McCoy, C, Questionable, Foot

Kendre Miller, RB, Questionable, Ankle

Chris Olave, WR, Questionable, Ankle

Cameron Jordan, DE, Questionable, Ankle



Buccaneers-

Shaquil Barrett, LB, Questionable, Groin

Carlton Davis III, CB, Questionable, Concussion

Chris Godwin, WR, Questionable, Knee/Rest



Final Thoughts/Prediction:

New Orleans has to do one thing to be successful on Sunday. The Saints must replicate their second-half success and get the ball rolling early versus the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay has been humming lately, and I would not be surprised to see them stop now after the Saints’ defense gave up 30 to the Rams. It should be a good game; it always seems to be that way between divisional opponents. However, I think Tampa Bay will come out on top in a shootout. The Saints are desperate, and we’ve seen in previous weeks that they aren’t going to lie down and accept defeat, but the Buccaneers are playing for a division title in front of their home crowd. I like Tampa in this contest, 34-28.


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By Greyson Jenkins October 12, 2025
In a game where Spencer Rattler might have had his best performance as a Saint, his weapons failed him.
By Abdul Abusada October 11, 2025
The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns football team have now fallen to 2-4 on the season and 1-1 in conference play after losing 24-14 to the James Madison Dukes in Harrisonburg, VA. This was the first-ever meeting between the Cajuns and the Dukes. Coming into this game, the Cajuns were 18.5-point underdogs against a James Madison team that was 4-1 on the season and ranked 4th nationally in total defense. QB Lunch Winfield made his debut collegiate start in this game after leading an impressive second-half comeback against Marshall a couple weeks ago when he replaced then-starter Daniel Beale. But while sportsbooks had JMU winning this game in blowout fashion, the Cajuns kept the game close, as neither team led by more than seven points at any point up until the final three minutes. FINAL TAKEAWAYS 1. Lunch Winfield brought the passing game to some sort of life. Prior to this game, UL averaged 122 yards per game through the air and only had three passing touchdowns through five games. Today, Lunch aired it out for 243 yards and two passing touchdowns on just 14 completions, coming out to a nice 17.4 yards per completion. While he did finish with a 50% completion rate (14/28), it is still an impressive stat line given that JMU came into this game ranked 8th nationally in passing yards allowed (137.4 ypg). Not to mention, this was the most yards allowed through the air by the Dukes this season (the most prior to this game was last week at Georgia State who put up 212 yards passing). JMU did not fare well today in pass defense, leaving receivers open multiple times, and Lunch took advantage of those mistakes. That being said, there were some questionable "toss-up" throws he made that could have went either way (similar to what Jameis Winston did in NOLA), but nonetheless, there is an improvement in the passing game compared to where this team was at the start of the season. And it is not necessarily a bad thing, as Lunch appears to have faith in his receivers, and so do the coaching staff. As long as the Cajuns continue to work their craft through the air, they should be just fine for the rest of the season, assuming everyone stays healthy and this offensive line, which is banged up (and potentially lost another body for some time after starting LG Kaden Moreau left with an injury), can get some bodies back. But they are still far from perfect. 2. Tackling continues to be an issue for the Cajuns. While this was not as big of an issue for defense as it was for special teams (particularly punt team) today, this is something the Cajuns have struggled with all season long. Not including those that may have went over my mind, there were two notable Cajuns punts today where the JMU returner broke 3+ tackles each time and gained significant yardage. We all hoped the team would use the bye week to improve wrapping-up players and tackling better, but the issues still persisted today. There was improvement, as the Cajuns defense did better with tackling and not allowing big plays after contact, per say. But overall, it has been a concerning spot all season for the Cajuns, and there were some glimpses of that yet again today. 3. Cajuns defense slowly showing improvement but still needs lots of work. UL's defense has been on a decline all season, and as a whole came in today as statistically one of the worst in the country. Though there are some positives to take from today's game. Prior to playing Marshall a couple weeks ago, this secondary allowed an average of only 160 yards per game through the air, which was top 25 nationally. Ever since, they have been exposed twice in a row, with big games allowed against Marshall's QB Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (258 yards) and now JMU's QB Alonza Barnett III (290 yards). However, despite the numbers saying otherwise, it looked worse against Marshall than it did today against JMU. The difference between the two is that against Marshall, receivers were consistently being left open, whereas against JMU, there was better awareness and coverage. Not to mention a big chunk of Barnett's 290 yards came from a flea flicker trick play on the opening play of the second half for a 62-yard touchdown. Still, this isn't to mention, however, that JMU was a run-heavy team coming into this game, not a passing team by any means. 63% of their total offensive yards prior to today came from their strong running attack. The Cajuns need to figure something out defensively to slow down passing games, and it undoubtedly became more concerning after allowing a run-heavy team to pass very well today. So far through two conference games, they are on pace to being one of the worst passing defenses in the country. As far as the run game, the Cajuns showed improvement, allowing 187 rushing yards. Now, by no means is that a stat to highlight on a defense's resume. But UL came into this game ranked 6th worst in the country in rushing defense (allowing 221.6 ypg), while JMU was 10th best in rushing offense (averaging 241.6 ypg). If anything, the indications pointed towards a huge running attack for the Dukes going up against a really poor Cajuns defensive front. Prior to this game, the only time JMU ran for less than 210 yards was against a really good Louisville defense when the Dukes were limited to just 126 yards on a whopping 47 attempts. Today, even though they ran pretty well, the Dukes had to rely a lot on the passing game to move the ball, which as mentioned above, is completely opposite of what their norm is (60% of their yards today came through the air). 4. Banged up offensive line situation just keeps getting worse. UL had three offensive linemen out for this game due to injury, and they lost another one halfway through the game as starting LG Kaden Moreau went down with an apparent leg injury. The exact diagnosis and his status for future games are still undetermined, but that now puts the Cajuns at two starting offensive linemen now potentially being out against Southern Miss (the other is RT George Jackson who was already ruled out for the game and likely to miss the rest of the season). The struggles were apparent in the game as not only were the Cajuns unable to run the ball well, only gaining 45 yards on 28 carries (QB Lunch Winfield was the leading rusher with 23 yards), but there was also lots of pressure on Lunch during pass attempts that increasingly got worse as the game progressed. Leading RB Zylan Perry was out with an injury, so he did not play. Overall The team is still continuing to show lots of inconsistency, and a lot of it has to do with injuries and poor execution. As mentioned earlier, this is a really good James Madison team, and this game was going to be a tough one to win in the first place. That being said, the fact that the Cajuns were able to keep the game close (only allowed 14 points through three quarters) is a huge positive and a step towards the right direction, but the team is still not where it needs to be. JMU today was flagged ten times for a whopping 102 yards, which played a big role in giving the Cajuns the great field position and scoring opportunities they had. The Ragin' Cajuns will now fly back home to prepare for a homecoming matchup next Saturday at 4pm versus the Southern Miss Eagles in what will be the TRUE rematch of the Sun Belt Conference Championship last season (if you know, you know). We'll see how the Cajuns play against Coach Huff and QB Braylon Braxton, both of whom were at Marshall last season when the Cajuns played them in the conference title game. The Cajuns are now needing to win four of these last six games to earn bowl eligibility. Please don't forget to follow my talk show, Cajun Sports Talk, on X (@CajunSportsTalk) and subscribe to our YouTube (@CajunSportsTalk2025), covering the hottest sports topics in Cajun country and beyond with my co-host and betting expert, Banyan Turner!
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