LSU vs Baylor Kinder's Texas Bowl Preview

Erik Trosclair • December 31, 2024

Let's get into it!

Spread: Baylor -4
O/U: 60.5

Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX

Date and TV: December 31, 2024, 2:30 PM, ESPN


For the 1st time since 1985, LSU and Baylor will be meeting on the gridiron. LSU leads the all time series 8-3. The 1st meeting between the 2 schools came in 1907, and the Tigers won by a score of 48-0.


Baylor, 8-4, 6-3, comes into the contest as one of the hottest teams in the nation, winning the final 6 games of the season. The Bears' offense ranks 3rd in the Big 12 in total yards per game (434.5), 7th in the Big 12 in passing yards per game (246), and 6th in the Big 12 in rushing yards per game (188.5). Quarterback Sawyer Robertson is the leader of this offense. Robertson has 2626 passing yards, 26 passing TDs (4th in the Big 12), 7 INTs, 227 rushing yards, and 4 rushing TDs on the season. Running back Bryson Washington has had a great season. Washington has 1004 rushing yards (8th in the Big 12), 12 rushing TDs (7th in the Big 12), 217 receiving yards, and 1 receiving TD. Josh Cameron and Ashtyn Hawkins are the leading pass catchers on the team. Cameron has 44 receptions, 643 receiving yards, and 9 TDs. Hawkins has 41 receptions, 512 receiving yards, and 4 TDs. The Bears defense ranks 10th in the Big 12 in total yards per game given up (382.8), 11th in the Big 12 in passing yards per game given up (227.6), and 11th in the Big 12 in rushing yards per game given up (155.2). Linebackers Keaton Thomas and Matt Jones are in the top 4 in the Big 12 in total tackles. The leaders in the defensive back room are Lorando Johnson and Devyn Bobby. Bobby has 3 INTs this season. Johnson ranks 3rd in the Big 12 with 10 PBUs. The leaders on the defensive line are Treven Ma'ae and Jackie Marshall. Ma'ae has 3.5 sacks this season, and Marshall has 3 sacks this season. Baylor has zero opt outs for the NFL Draft, but they have lost 4 players to the transfer portal.


LSU, 8-4, 5-3, enters this game having won the final 2 games of the regular season. The Tiger offense ranks 5th in the SEC in total yards per game (431.9), 2nd in the SEC in passing yards per game (315.3), and 16th in the SEC in rushing yards per game. The Tiger offense is led by quarterback Garrett Nussmeier. Nuss ranks 2nd in the SEC in passing yards (3739) and passing TDs (26). He has the 2nd most INTs in the SEC with 11. The running back room is led by Josh Willams and Caden Durham. Williams has 108 carries, 440 yards, 5 TDs, 29 receptions, and 249 receiving yards on the season. Durham has 127 carries, 693 yards, 6 TDs, 27 receptions, 257 receiving yards, and 2 TDs on the season. The leading pass catchers for the Tigers are Kyren Lacy, Mason Taylor, and Aaron Anderson. Lacy has 58 receptions (5th in the SEC), 886 yards (5th in the SEC), and 9 TDs (1st in the SEC) on the season. Taylor has 55 receptions (7th in the SEC), 546 yards, and 2 TDs on the season. Anderson has 53 receptions (10th in the SEC), 784 yards (11th in the SEC), and 5 TDs on the season. The LSU defense ranks 11th in the SEC in total yards per game given up (352.5), 7th in the SEC in passing yards per game given up (205.9), and 13th in the SEC in rushing yards per game given up (146.6). The linebacker room is led by Whit Weeks and Greg Penn III. Weeks ranks 3rd in the SEC with 114 total tackles this season. GP3 has 80 total tackles this season. The defensive line is led by Bradyn Swinson and Sai'vion Jones. Swinson ranks 5th in the SEC with 8.5 sacks this season. Jones has 4.5 sacks this season. The defensive back room is led by Ashton Stamps and Zy Alexander. Stamps ranks 5th in the SEC with 9 PBUs on the season. Alexander has 2 INTs on the season. The Tigers will be without Will Campbell, Emery Jones, Mason Taylor, and Kyren Lacy, who are all getting ready for the NFL Draft. Sage Ryan, CJ Daniels, Rickie Collins, Da'Shawn Womack, Shelton Sampson, Jr., Kylin Jackson, Xavier Atkins, Jyaire Brown, and Jordan Allen, among others, have entered the transfer portal for the Tigers.


Fun Fact: Baylor head coach, Dave Aranda, was the LSU defensive coordinator from 2016-2019.


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By Zach Nuñez May 22, 2026
Lane Kiffin sat in his office with Big Cat and PFT Commenter for Pardon My Take’s annual Grit Week series. PFT jokingly asked Kiffin, “Have you gotten to meet and know Mike the Tiger yet?” Kiffin briefly explained trying to have “a moment” with Mike before the conversation quickly pivoted. “That is really why we need Coach O,” Kiffin said. Kiffin’s lighthearted attempt to connect with Mike the Tiger landed because it pointed to something real: LSU had lost a piece of its soul. Mike is more than a mascot. He’s the living symbol of the program’s unique Bayou culture, the unmistakable cultural heartbeat Ed Orgeron once brought every day with his “one team, one heartbeat” energy that made the program feel truly alive. Say what you want about the way things ended between 2020 and 2021. Based on sourced information I won’t get into here, I’d argue much of the public perception surrounding Orgeron’s exit misses the full picture. Binder in hand, Orgeron built the greatest team in college football history, an achievement that never seemed fully appreciated by LSU’s leadership at the time. Brian Kelly was brought in to “steady the ship.” In some ways, he did. LSU remained competitive and relevant nationally. But in other ways, Kelly’s tenure slowly chipped away at the culture and identity that made LSU football unique. Over four seasons, Kelly often said the right things publicly, but in true politician form, his actions rarely matched his words. The result was a gradual erosion of the program’s identity and growing apathy within a fan base that prides itself on passion and pride. Eventually, that disconnect led to Kelly’s reported $54 million exit from Baton Rouge. In a separate Grit Week interview, Orgeron was blunt about why that disconnect happened. When asked about Kelly’s infamous first appearance on the basketball court, Coach O didn’t hesitate: “It’s over, he ain’t got a chance. If you try to be somebody you ain’t, they are going to smell it from a mile away.” It felt fitting that Frank Wilson stepped in as interim head coach, describing the opportunity as “answering the call of Mother University.” Wilson understood what LSU was supposed to be because he lived it, as a Louisiana native and as a longtime assistant deeply embedded in the fabric of the program. That is not to diminish the work he did during his second stint at LSU, but at times Wilson felt like a bridge to the culture Kelly never fully embraced. He helped keep the program tethered to its Louisiana roots while Kelly attempted to reshape LSU in his own political and calculated image. When Wilson later departed for Ole Miss and LSU hired Kevin Smith to coach running backs, Kiffin, general manager Billy Glasscock, and the rest of the staff did an admirable job holding together the recruiting class and stabilizing the roster. Orgeron alluded to assisting with this by speaking to families of recruits around signing day, pulling them back to the program they always wanted. Still, something was missing. This is not to suggest LSU lacked coaches with Louisiana ties, but the program lacked a singular embodiment of its identity. It lacked the unmistakable face of Bayou culture. It lacked Ed Orgeron. Orgeron understood the deep pull better than most. He added that 99 percent of players born in Louisiana at some point dreamed of running through those H-style goal posts in Tiger Stadium and becoming a Tiger. “You just have to recapture it.” In that same interview, Orgeron laid out exactly what he brings back to Baton Rouge. “It’s an energy you just can’t match at other places,” he said of LSU. He recounted the advice he gave Kiffin: “That’s what I told Lane, ‘Recruit them.’ They’re going to be there for you through thick and thin. The guy before (you) didn’t do it. You cannot disassociate yourself with these people because this is their life.” Coach O knows that truth because he was born with it. “I was raised in the state of Louisiana,” he said. “Nobody ever had to tell me about the expectations at LSU. I got it.” That’s the culture he’s always understood: “That’s what makes this state, the people. They don’t come here to see the mosquitoes, the humidity and the alligators, it’s because of the people and the culture… LSU makes the state of Louisiana and everybody loves the LSU Tigers.” Kiffin needs someone who can immediately strengthen relationships between a largely new staff and high school coaches across Louisiana. In an era dominated by transfer portal mercenaries and transactional roster building, LSU also needs someone capable of reigniting genuine passion inside the building. That is what Orgeron brings. He is a motivator. A recruiter. A culture builder. A general who has stood on the front lines in Death Valley and experienced LSU at both its highest highs and its lowest lows. Now, as special assistant to recruiting and defense, Orgeron returns without the burdens that come with being a head coach. No administrative distractions. No CEO responsibilities. Instead, he can focus entirely on the qualities that made him so valuable in the first place: relationships, energy, intensity, and a forever love for LSU. Follow Zach
By David Billiot Jr May 20, 2026
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